2.3 Inadequate assessment of pros and cons
While we had many engaging discussion of "pros and cons," they were for the most part discussions of the pros and cons
of the element itself, rather than the pros and cons of using a LBI to address the element. In particular, we rarely discussed
the pros and cons of options other than a LBI, or compared the pros and cons of a LBI with the pros and cons of other
options. We never discussed the pros and cons of actually negotiating a LBI. We did not really compare views on what
we thought would be necessary to "address" an element, and without this shared understanding it's hard to know if we
actually had a shared objective. Instead of in-depth discussions of these important issues we had frequent passionate
interventions that a particular element was "very important" and could therefore best be dealt with by a LBI. We did not
have a discussion of why a LBI would succeed where other measures had failed, or at least not a discussion that moved
beyond generalities such as the need for "political will" and "rules-based systems." The text box below outlines one
proposed methodology for actually doing an adequate assessment of using a LBI to address a particular element.
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Primary Forest Conversion: A Case Study of the "Pros and Cons" Element 37 in the CCRI refers to "primary forest conversion." Discussions in Working Group 2 in Mexico determined that this actually referred to two separate issues: forest conversion (to other land uses) and primary forest conversion (to managed secondary forests or plantations). On the latter point, three participants stated that a LBI could be a potential tool to address this issue; the other participants remained silent. In order to do a thorough assessment of the pros and cons of using a LBI to address primary forest conversion, the following steps should be carried out: 1. What does "address" mean? For some participants it may mean to limit, reduce or halt primary forest conversion. For others it may mean to legitimize primary forest conversion. It is necessary to set specific objectives. 2. Identify several hypothetical outcomes of a LBI, such as:
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1. Ensure that the findings of the regional workshops are not misrepresented, either at the Ottawa meeting or at IFF4.
As described in section 3 above, it is not possible to credibly draw general conclusions or to determine significant trends from the results of the regional meetings. People may need to be reminded that the purpose of the regional meetings was to identify the full range of views, not to reach agreement or come to conclusions.
2. Adequately assess the potential of existing instruments, initiatives and organizations.
This task was begun but not completed by the Swiss-Peru Initiative undertaken as part of the Intergovernmental Panel on Forests. A thorough assessment would include:
a) the mandate of each instrument, initiative or organization;
b) its effectiveness at accomplishing the elements of its mandate;
c) its impact in influencing practises on the ground;
d) what it is not currently accomplishing, or not accomplishing adequately;
e) why it is not accomplishing these objectives;
f) the potential for strengthening the instrument, initiative or organization; and
g) financial and policy implications of using a particular instrument, initiative or organization to achieve certain objectives.
Steps (b)-(e) require an independent analysis, and are unlikely to be credibly assessed by the respective organizations themselves. Indeed, because of various sensitivities it may not be possible to carry out this assessment in any formal way, but in that case the means must be found to do it informally.
3. Continue to press for an adequate analysis of the full range of options.
Box 1 above describes the steps that should be taken in order to do an adequate analysis of the pros and cons of using various instruments to bring about effective actions on the ground. For many issues it may be difficult to achieve consensus on the objectives (Step 1). In these cases it may be preferable to either explore the pros and cons according a a range of different objectives, or to carry out the analysis within the confines of an interest group that shares a particular objective. In the case of primary forest conversion, for instance, it may be futile for NGOs to attempt to assess the pros and cons together with industry representatives, since their ultimate objectives are in conflict. In other areas (such as better coordination) there is likely to be more agreement about objectives, and more potential to jointly explore the pros and cons of various alternatives.
4. Accentuate the positive
Delegates at IFF4 will be under considerable pressure to make some difficult decisions. They will likely not respond very positively to being told what not to do, or being scolded for not having taken more effective actions to date. It would be preferable to offer them practical, politically realistic options.
5. Explore initiatives outside the U.N. system
The limitations of the UN system are legion: it is an exasperatingly sluggish and cautious forum for actually moving the international agenda forward. For all its limitations, in certain cases it remains the best (or the only) way forward. In other situations, however, there are other options for bringing about progressive change. Some types of options are listed below in general terms, with examples that are not meant to be comprehensive or definitive.
These options should of course be assessed for their pros and cons, using a methodology similar to that outlined in Box 1 above.
- Encourage and support multilateral initiatives (e.g., G8 Action Plan, regional initiatives)
- Support and strengthen NGO/Government linkages (e.g., initiatives through the IUCN)
- Promote new initiatives that involve NGO/Government collaboration (e.g., ForesTrust, proposed by the World Commission on Forests and Sustainable Development)
- Support and promote initiatives involving diverse interests and NGO-industry collaboration, but are independent of government (e.g., Forest Stewardship Council)
- Raise the profile and political influence of NGO-led initiatives that feed into intergovernmental processes (e.g., the Underlying Causes initiative)
- Ensure the credibility, impact and widespread application of independent NGO-led initiatives (e.g., Global Forest Watch)